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1 ## DESCRIPTION 2 ## Financial mathematics: Contingent payments 3 ## ENDDESCRIPTION 4 5 ## KEYWORDS('financial mathematics', 'contingent payments') 6 ## JJH tagged this problem. 7 8 ## DBsubject('Financial Mathematics') 9 ## DBchapter('Probability and Contingent Payments') 10 ## DBsection('Contingent Payments') 11 ## Date('5/22/2005') 12 ## Author('Jeff Holt') 13 ## Institution('UVA') 14 ## TitleText1('Financial Mathematics') 15 ## EditionText1('1') 16 ## AuthorText1('Holt') 17 ## Section1('5.3') 18 ## Problem1() 19 20 DOCUMENT(); # This should be the first executable line in the problem. 21 22 loadMacros("PG.pl", 23 "PGbasicmacros.pl", 24 "PGchoicemacros.pl", 25 "PGanswermacros.pl", 26 "PGauxiliaryFunctions.pl"); 27 28 TEXT(beginproblem()); 29 $showPartialCorrectAnswers = 0; 30 31 $yp = random(8.8,10.3,0.1); 32 $y = 0.01*$yp; 33 $p = random(.85,.95,.01); 34 $q = random(.75,.85,.01); 35 $r = random(.65,.75,.01); 36 $e = 0.01*floor(100*($p*1000*(1+$y)**(-1) + $q*1000*(1+$y)**(-2) + $r*1000*(1+$y)**(-3))); 37 38 # Present the text. 39 40 TEXT(EV2(<<EOT)); 41 42 You have an investment opportunity to receive 1000 dollars at the end of 43 each year for the next 3 years. The probability of receiving the first 44 payment is $p, and the probability of receiving the second is $q. 45 If the expected yield rate is $yp percent effective, and the expected present 46 value is $e dollars, what is the probability of receiving the third payment? 47 48 49 $BR 50 51 Answer = \{ &ans_rule(30) \} percent. 52 $BR 53 54 EOT 55 56 $ans = $r*100; 57 ANS(num_cmp($ans, format => '%0.3f', tol => .01) ); 58 59 60 ENDDOCUMENT(); # This should be the last executable line in the problem.
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