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1 : jjholt 451 ## DESCRIPTION
2 :     ## Statistics: Probability
3 :     ## ENDDESCRIPTION
4 :    
5 :     ## KEYWORDS('statistics', 'probability')
6 :     ## naw tagged this problem.
7 :    
8 :     ## DBchapter('Probability')
9 :     ## DBsection()
10 :     ## Date('6/14/2005')
11 :     ## Author('Nolan A. Wages')
12 :     ## Institution('UVA')
13 :     ## TitleText1('Statistics for Management and Economics')
14 :     ## EditionText1('6')
15 :     ## AuthorText1('Keller, Warrack')
16 :     ## Section1()
17 :     ## Problem1()
18 :    
19 :    
20 :     DOCUMENT(); # This should be the first executable line in the problem.
21 :    
22 :     loadMacros(
23 :     "PG.pl",
24 :     "PGbasicmacros.pl",
25 :     "PGchoicemacros.pl",
26 :     "PGanswermacros.pl",
27 :     "PGnumericalmacros.pl",
28 :     "PGstatisticsmacros.pl",
29 :     "PGauxiliaryFunctions.pl"
30 :     );
31 :    
32 :     TEXT(beginproblem());
33 :     $showPartialCorrectAnswers = 1;
34 :     ## install_problem_grader(~~&std_problem_grader);
35 :    
36 :     $a1 = random(.20,.25,.01);
37 :     $a2 = random(.10,.15,.01);
38 :     $a3 = random(.50,.60,.01);
39 :     $a4 = 1-($a1+$a2+$a3);
40 :    
41 :     BEGIN_TEXT
42 :     $PAR
43 :     The owner of an appliance store is interested in the
44 :     relationship between the price at which an item is
45 :     sold (regular or sale price) and the customer's decision
46 :     on whether to purchase and extended warranty. After
47 :     analyzing her records, she produced the following joint
48 :     probabilities:
49 :    
50 :     \[
51 :     \begin{array}{c|c|c}
52 :     & \mbox{Purchased} & \mbox{Did not purchase} \\
53 :     & \mbox{extended warranty} & \mbox{extended warranty} \\ \hline
54 :     \mbox{Regular Price} & $a1 & $a3 \\ \hline
55 :     \mbox{Sale Price} & $a2 & $a4 \\
56 :     \end{array}
57 :     \]
58 :    
59 :    
60 :     $PAR
61 :     A. What is the probability that a customer who
62 :     bought an item at the regular price purchased the
63 :     extended warranty?
64 :     $PAR
65 :     Probability = \{ans_rule(15)\}
66 :     $PAR
67 :     B. What is the probability that a customer buys an extended warranty?
68 :     $PAR
69 :     Probability = \{ans_rule(15)\}
70 :    
71 :     $PAR
72 :    
73 :     END_TEXT
74 :    
75 :     ANS(num_cmp($a1/($a1+$a3)));
76 :     ANS(num_cmp($a1+$a2));
77 :    
78 :    
79 :     ENDDOCUMENT(); # This should be the last executable line in the problem.

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