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When investing, it can be difficult to determine whether the fired-up growth stock you're eyeing is actually just a fad. People who invested in Crocs at the stock's crazy highs have learned the perils of such a situation. The shoe company's fourth-quarter results provide little reason for anybody to believe that Crocs shares can regain their former overpriced glory.
'''Looking for the [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/ WeBWorK Moodle site]?'''
 
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Crocs did beat analysts' expectations. However, it reported a net loss of $33.2 million, or $0.40 per share, compared to a profit of $38.3 million, or $0.45 per share, during the same period last year. The fourth-quarter net loss included major foreign exchange rate losses; without those, the company still would have reported a net loss of $17.1 million, or $0.20 per share. Revenue plunged 43.9% to $126.1 million.
<div style="text-align:center; font-size:125%">'''[http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/mod/forum/view.php?f=1 WeBWorK News]'''</div>
 
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== Overview ==
 
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Crocs also forecast a net loss for the first quarter, guiding in the range of $0.32 to $0.17 per share.
   
WeBWorK is a [[License|free]] Perl-based system for delivering individualized homework problems over the web. By providing students with immediate feedback as to the correctness of their answers, students are encouraged to make multiple attempts until they succeed. By individualizing problems, cheating is discouraged. By providing instructors with real-time statistics, lesson plans can be customized to better serve students. WeBWorK is partially supported by the [http://www.nsf.gov/div/index.jsp?div=DUE DUE Division] of [http://www.nsf.gov/ NSF]. (See: [[Grants,_awards,_and_support|Grants, awards, and support]].)
 
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The company emphasized its improved cash position, accounts receivable, and inventory levels, and these are of course important elements. Cash is king these days, and Crocs' major inventory buildup and mounting accounts receivables hinted at big trouble on the way when the stock first began its downward spiral. However, Crocs' constant emphasis on the poor economy's negative impact may be a bit misleading. Although I have no doubt that the consumer spending slowdown is taking a bite out of Crocs, it's also been clear that the fad element of the company's shoes is rapidly unraveling. That implies that the heady growth of yesteryear is over, even when consumer spending revives.
   
* [[Introduction|Full Introduction to WeBWorK]] ('''Newcomers start here.''')
 
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Faddish stocks like Crocs and Heelys are dangerous for investors, even if Microsoft founder Bill Gates apparently believes that Crocs is a good stock.
* [[Download|Download WeBWorK]]
 
* [[Problem Libraries]]
 
   
== Documentation ==
 
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Navigating the dire economy won't be easy for discretionary stocks like Crocs. Fellow footwear maker Skechers recently got trampled. On the other hand, these tough times could provide investing opportunities. I've wanted to take a deeper look at Deckers lately; its UGG boots may be a fad, but they've shown remarkable staying power for years now, remaining hot even through last year's holiday shopping season.
   
* '''[[:Category:Students|Students]]''' {{--}} For students; how to use WeBWorK. <br/>[[Logging into WeBWorK|Logging in]], [[Mathematical notation recognized by WeBWorK|Notation]]{{...}}
 
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But in Crocs' case, I continue to firmly advise investors to steer clear. Even though it may look cheap trading in penny stock territory, I don't believe it will ever come near its former growth rates. Buyer, beware.
* '''[[:Category:Instructors|Instructors]]''' {{--}} For instructors; how to use WeBWorK day to day. [[Course_Management | (includes video tutorials)]] <br/>[[Gateway Tests and Quizzes|Gateway tests]], [[LDAP Authentication|LDAP]], [[Course Management]]{{...}}
 
* '''[[:Category:Administrators|Administrators]]''' {{--}} Installing, upgrading, and maintaining WeBWorK installations.<br/>[[Installation Manual for 2.4|Installation]], [[:Category:WeBWorK on Live Media|WeBWorK on Live Media]], [[Course Administration|Course Admin.]], [[:Category:Troubleshooting|Troubleshooting]]{{...}}
 
* '''[[:Category:Authors|Authors]]''' {{--}} For question authors and instructors: documents and examples on writing homework questions in WeBWorK's PG language.<br/>[[Problem Authoring Background Information|Background]], [[:Category:Sample Problems|Samples]], [[:Category:MathObjects|MathObjects]], [[:Category:Problem Techniques|Techniques]], [[Tagging Problems|Tagging]]{{...}}
 
* '''[[:Category:Developers|Developers]]''' {{--}} Documents for WeBWorK developers.
 
   
== Community ==
 
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* [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/course/view.php?id=2 Using WeBWorK] {{--}} Moodle course for usage issues (Most of the content from this course is being moved onto this wiki.)
 
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** [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/mod/forum/index.php?id=2 Forums] {{--}} Get answers to questions about all aspects of WeBWorK. Each forum has its own RSS feed, and registered users can elect to receive email copies of new posts.
 
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** [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/mod/data/index.php?id=2 Databases] {{--}} Collections of various data related to WeBWorK. (Installations, PG macros, publications, etc.)
 
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* [[Video conferences]] (Alternate Wednesdays at 5pm EST.)
 
* [[WeBWorK server sites]] (approximately 92 active servers --- surveyed in November 2008 ) [[WeBWorK_logos]]
 
* [http://webwork.rochester.edu/googlemap.html Google map of WeBWorK server sites]
 
* [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/course/view.php?id=13 Assessment] {{--}} Moodle course for WeBWorK assessment issues.
 
* [http://webwork.maa.org/moodle/course/view.php?id=14 Accessibility] {{--}} Moodle course for WeBWorK accessibility issues.
 
* [http://bugs.webwork.rochester.edu Bugzilla] {{--}} View and report bugs in WeBWorK. (Be sure to read [http://bugs.webwork.rochester.edu/page.cgi?id=bug-writing.html Bug Writing Guidelines] before reporting bugs!)
 
* [[Moodle Integration]] {{--}} Documentation relating to Moodle WeBWorK integration.
 
* [[AIM07/Working Groups]] {{--}} working groups formed at the AIM workshop in August of 2007
 
* [[Contributors]]
 
* [[HowToEnterMathSymbols]] into the text in this wiki
 

Revision as of 20:27, 3 March 2009

When investing, it can be difficult to determine whether the fired-up growth stock you're eyeing is actually just a fad. People who invested in Crocs at the stock's crazy highs have learned the perils of such a situation. The shoe company's fourth-quarter results provide little reason for anybody to believe that Crocs shares can regain their former overpriced glory.

Crocs did beat analysts' expectations. However, it reported a net loss of $33.2 million, or $0.40 per share, compared to a profit of $38.3 million, or $0.45 per share, during the same period last year. The fourth-quarter net loss included major foreign exchange rate losses; without those, the company still would have reported a net loss of $17.1 million, or $0.20 per share. Revenue plunged 43.9% to $126.1 million.

Crocs also forecast a net loss for the first quarter, guiding in the range of $0.32 to $0.17 per share.

The company emphasized its improved cash position, accounts receivable, and inventory levels, and these are of course important elements. Cash is king these days, and Crocs' major inventory buildup and mounting accounts receivables hinted at big trouble on the way when the stock first began its downward spiral. However, Crocs' constant emphasis on the poor economy's negative impact may be a bit misleading. Although I have no doubt that the consumer spending slowdown is taking a bite out of Crocs, it's also been clear that the fad element of the company's shoes is rapidly unraveling. That implies that the heady growth of yesteryear is over, even when consumer spending revives.

Faddish stocks like Crocs and Heelys are dangerous for investors, even if Microsoft founder Bill Gates apparently believes that Crocs is a good stock.

Navigating the dire economy won't be easy for discretionary stocks like Crocs. Fellow footwear maker Skechers recently got trampled. On the other hand, these tough times could provide investing opportunities. I've wanted to take a deeper look at Deckers lately; its UGG boots may be a fad, but they've shown remarkable staying power for years now, remaining hot even through last year's holiday shopping season.

But in Crocs' case, I continue to firmly advise investors to steer clear. Even though it may look cheap trading in penny stock territory, I don't believe it will ever come near its former growth rates. Buyer, beware.


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